7-10 DAYS, 21 DAYS…EVERY TIME.

With very little variation, every surge/wave of COVID19 has followed the same pattern:

HOSPITALIZATIONS START TO RISE 7-10 DAYS AFTER CASES START TO RISE.

DEATHS START TO RISE AROUND 21 DAYS AFTER CASES START TO RISE.

AND OMICRON IS NO DIFFERENT.

When will we learn to quit making assumptions about the impact of each variant before we lay our eyes on ACTUAL DATA? The best I can offer is MAYBE NEXT TIME?

CHECK OUT SOUTH AFRICA, THE U.K. AND ITALY. The rise in deaths is steep in South Africa, which was one of the first countries hit by Omicron. Deaths are already rising in the UK and Italy…I expect them to rise steeply in the next week or so. I sincerely hope the UK has seen its peak. I doubt Italy has.

NOW TAKE A LOOK AT THE UNITED STATES. Look familiar? The U.S. looks very similar to the U.K., with deaths just beginning to skyrocket…and we’re nowhere near our peak.