A friend's question sent me down a data rabbit hole this morning. Fortunately, I thoroughly enjoy crunching the numbers, since analyzing pandemic data predictions led to my first book. Fond memories. The question was essentially: If we test more than a smaller EU nation, won't that skew the number of cases to make it look …
BUT WHAT ABOUT ALL OF THE DEATHS THAT WILL RESULT FROM NOT OPENING THE ECONOMY?
Shout out to Russell Blake, who not only spared me from a long bout of procrastination, but also captured the spirit (almost word for word) of my thoughts regarding the question/statement: "the death toll from suicides, from drug abuse, from depression, from unemployment arising from closing the country is far greater than that of the virus." …
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FUNNY HOW PEOPLE IN POSITIONS OF RESPONSIBILITY DON’T LIKE “THE BLAME GAME.” WONDER WHY?
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/when-this-pandemic-is-over-lets-avoid-the-partisan-blame-game/2020/05/05/fed82490-8ee9-11ea-a0bc-4e9ad4866d21_story.html When this pandemic is over, let’s avoid the partisan blame game Uh...how convenient. Sorry Mitch, this opinion piece isn't going to shield you from blame this fall, if you make a bad decision with the lives of thousands of students, their parents, grandparents and the communities connected to them. It'll ALL BE ON YOU, …
SOMEONE MUST HAVE FORGOTTEN TO EXPLAIN TO TRUMP HOW INTERNATIONAL AIR TRAVEL SPREADS A VIRUS IN A PANDEMIC.
TRUMP COULD HAVE ACTUALLY STOPPED ALL TRAVEL FROM CHINA. INSTEAD... Trump partially shut down travel from China on Feb 2nd, but 40,000 travelers still arrived after the travel ban. Partial doesn't count for much in a pandemic. Trump can’t blame China for his own coronavirus failures - The Washington Post "It’s true that China initially …
The Good Ole’ Days…when we were “ONLY” going to lose 60,000 Americans—Anyone with a partially functioning brain, a sense of reality and a working calculator knew that number was NONSENSE the moment it was announced. NOW THE NUMBER IS 100,000, AND I’M NOT BUYING THAT EITHER.
COVID Update May 4: We’ve been lied to about the potential death toll in this country & it matters. - Andy Slavitt, former head of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services The article below is a little old, but it explains exactly why the IMHE's 60K projection was flawed...and it all turned out to …
THE U.S. MAY HAVE FLATTENED THE CURVE THROUGH INTENSE PHYSICAL DISTANCING EFFORTS, BUT WE’RE ACTING LIKE COUNTRIES THAT HAVE CRUSHED IT. AND WE DIDN’T. AND IT DOESN’T LOOK LIKE WE’RE ON TRACK TO CRUSH IT—EVER.
Graphics taken from ENDCORONAVIRUS.ORG. Yaneer Bar-Yam, Harvard professor and founding president of the New England Complex Systems Institute: THE US IS NOT TRENDING LIKE NATIONS THAT HAVE HANDLED THE PANDEMIC EFFECTIVELY.
U.S. Coronavirus Deaths Higher Than Reported
9000 MORE deaths (beyond those attributed to COVID19) than normal reported across SEVEN states between March 11 and April 8, suggesting a significant undercount of coronavirus related fatalities. U.S. Coronavirus Death Toll Is Far Higher Than Reported, C.D.C. Data Suggests "It’s difficult to know whether the differences between excess deaths and the official counts of …
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PREDICTION: States that took LITTLE action to protect their citizens from COVID19 (Florida, Georgia, South Carolina…most of the south) will “doctor” their numbers to support the REOPEN EFFORT.
Florida medical examiners were releasing coronavirus death data. The state made them stop. - Tampa Bay Times
The VAST MAJORITY of Americans understand the risks of “reopening” too quickly. FROM PROTESTS TO ONLINE DECLARATIONS, THE REOPEN MOVEMENT IS ALMOST ENTIRELY FABRICATED.
TROLLS AND BOTS ARE RUNNING THE ANTI-QUARANTINE NARRATIVE. AND FUELING A GROWING SENSE OF "QUARANTINE FATIGUE."
Regardless of how you feel about the World Health Organization, there’s one ABSOLUTE TRUTH that can’t be ignored…
The WHO had already distributed MILLIONS of working COVID19 tests to countries around the world before the CDC got a few thousand tests out to the states, in a completely bungled effort that left the United States blind for the most critical six weeks of the pandemic.WHERE'S THE BLAME FOR THE CDC?