COVID19 — THE TRUTH through vetted science, expert opinion and objective analysis
Delivering the truth about COVID19 and debunking misinformation
Because 2020 wasn't bad enough I know I'm kind of preaching to the same choir at this point, but I think this is important enough to explain. The UK COVID19 variant B.1.1.7. is in the U.S. and is spreading. The chart below shows what happened in the UK and Ireland when this new variant dominated …
Continue reading "RINGING IN THE NEW YEAR WITH A NEW COVID19 VARIANT"
Epidemiologists and public health officials (real ones) have been so "spot on" with COVID19 numbers since the spring, that even people like you and I can predict where your state and the nation is soon headed. AND IT ISN'T PRETTY. Here's my quick prediction method, based on publicly reported data and several trusted epidemiologists' work. …
THE LOGIC OF PANDEMIC RESTRICTIONS IS FALLING APART The question is far more nuanced than it appears. The answer sheds light on why we're caught in this FOREVER PANDEMIC. HINT: At the level of community spread we're seeing in most states right now, you can't do either safely and expect to get a handle on …
I know it sounded like I was about to disappear into my writing cave last Friday and not reemerge until next year, but I saw something that I feel is REALLY HELPFUL. Michigan has initiated three week PAUSE TO SAVE LIVES, and I think we can all use the same guidance to determine how to …
At this point you either SEE IT or YOU DON'T SEE IT. If you DON'T SEE IT, no amount of science, facts or argument will make a difference. You're probably not reading this right now, but I'm still writing this for you—because I'm still on your side. THE CURRENT COVID19 SURGE IS JUST GETTING STARTED, …
Continue reading "STAY SAFE. BE WELL. SEE YOU ON THE OTHER SIDE."
AND ANYONE WHO TELLS YOU DIFFERENTLY IS FLAT OUT LYING OR UNKNOWINGLY REPEATING THE LIES OF LIARS. WE'RE HEADED IN A STEEP, STRAIGHT LINE TOWARD AN EVEN BIGGER DISASTER. ONLY FOUR STATES HAVE AN INFECTION RATE (RT) BELOW 1.00, INDICATING REDUCTION IN VIRUS SPREAD. CLICK HERE TO CHECK YOUR STATE'S INFECTION RATE AND IMPLIED INFECTIONS …
Continue reading "WE’RE NOT “ROUNDING THE TURN” ON COVID19—NOT EVEN CLOSE"
A number of friends have asked me what I track on a daily-weekly basis to make predictions and decisions during the pandemic. So much has changed in terms of available data tools over the past 9 months—that I'm constantly evaluating and often changing what I watch. As briefly as possible, I'll walk you through my …
Here's an article I wrote for Discover Sci Fi in early April. Click on Image to get to the article. https://discoverscifi.com/steven-konkoly-on-predicting-the-covid-19-pandemic/
For those of you who don't know, I've been at this longer than my first post here (April 22nd) might suggest. Unfortunately, based on recent trends, I predict I'll be here far longer than I had hoped. Really wish I had been wrong. MY PAUL REVERE RIDE THROUGH THE START OF THE PANDEMIC ON PREDICTING …
Continue reading "My Paul Revere Ride Through The Start of the COVID19 Pandemic"
For your safety and the safety of others. And so we can get out of this pandemic death spiral. The CDC added this very important warning/information to their website on Friday: “There is growing evidence that droplets and airborne particles can remain suspended in the air and be breathed in by others, and travel distances …
Continue reading "JUST IN CASE YOU’RE AS CONFUSED AS THE CDC"
COVID19 — THE TRUTH through vetted science, expert opinion and objective analysis 